Hello everyone, now listen:
I think that sports betting, especially professional sports betting, is a waste of time for the bettor. For the sportsbooks, no, but for each individual bettor, it is a waste.
Anyone may as well flip a coin and base their picks on the outcome than fade any pro capper or spend countless hours researching "significant" variables toward an "edge" on any given game or games.
Are you shaking your head as you read these words? If you are, then you may need to try an look at your behavior objectively. For example:
The best of the best cappers can barely call games significantly above 50 to 55 percent (if I'm wrong, please correct me). You, bettors, are paying the bookies a few percent just to play the game.
The few percentage points you gain by spending countless hours studying possibly important variables in any game is taken away by the bookie.
It seems that the best that even the wisest cappers can do is barely cover the sportsbooks' vig while simultaneously attempting to account for immeasurable critical factors that affect each game's outcome.
ATX, a respected capper, posted that he wins overall by spreading his bets out over many many small bets each based on his own best perception of value for each bet. When he wins, he wins small; when he loses he loses small. His strategy, it seems to this newbie, is to build his skill at picking out very subtle critical nuances of multiple games, then regardless of each game's final score, he attempts to correlate factors that, to the layperson, are invisible.
Doing what is described above give the pro capper the "edge" to profit by making thousands, or tens of thousands over years, of bets and ending up in a winning position, overall.
My point is that the only way to be successful in the sports betting game is to invest 12 hours per day over several years so that the bets one makes are just good enough to earn a 1 to 2 percent profit margin over the guaranteed bookie vig and unknown, yet critical, seeming random variables.
I am saying that sports betting, unless you are willing to devote 12 hour days over a period of several years, is a SUCKER'S BET.
Personally, I want to win in this game; however, I am not a "bookie's bookie" (nor want to be one), nor do have the time to invest in tracking minute details that may or may not be important to any game and create my own personal "rolodex" of interconnected correlations that may end with me claiming a 1 to 2 percent profit over the long haul.
What should one in my position do? Should I subscribe to a pro cappers site and fade his picks? Should I fade the free picks availabe on this board and its links (by the way, the sure thing that was posted earlier today of ATL/MIA being UNDER 34 1/2 turned out to be a flop).
I'm just offering a total newbie's perspective here with dash of critical thinking. Don't take any of my comments as being necessarily negative toward offshore sports betting. In fact, I like this game a lot -- it's just that, all things considered, I honestly don't believe I win enough to make it worth my while.
interested in prodcutive comments and opinions.
I think that sports betting, especially professional sports betting, is a waste of time for the bettor. For the sportsbooks, no, but for each individual bettor, it is a waste.
Anyone may as well flip a coin and base their picks on the outcome than fade any pro capper or spend countless hours researching "significant" variables toward an "edge" on any given game or games.
Are you shaking your head as you read these words? If you are, then you may need to try an look at your behavior objectively. For example:
The best of the best cappers can barely call games significantly above 50 to 55 percent (if I'm wrong, please correct me). You, bettors, are paying the bookies a few percent just to play the game.
The few percentage points you gain by spending countless hours studying possibly important variables in any game is taken away by the bookie.
It seems that the best that even the wisest cappers can do is barely cover the sportsbooks' vig while simultaneously attempting to account for immeasurable critical factors that affect each game's outcome.
ATX, a respected capper, posted that he wins overall by spreading his bets out over many many small bets each based on his own best perception of value for each bet. When he wins, he wins small; when he loses he loses small. His strategy, it seems to this newbie, is to build his skill at picking out very subtle critical nuances of multiple games, then regardless of each game's final score, he attempts to correlate factors that, to the layperson, are invisible.
Doing what is described above give the pro capper the "edge" to profit by making thousands, or tens of thousands over years, of bets and ending up in a winning position, overall.
My point is that the only way to be successful in the sports betting game is to invest 12 hours per day over several years so that the bets one makes are just good enough to earn a 1 to 2 percent profit margin over the guaranteed bookie vig and unknown, yet critical, seeming random variables.
I am saying that sports betting, unless you are willing to devote 12 hour days over a period of several years, is a SUCKER'S BET.
Personally, I want to win in this game; however, I am not a "bookie's bookie" (nor want to be one), nor do have the time to invest in tracking minute details that may or may not be important to any game and create my own personal "rolodex" of interconnected correlations that may end with me claiming a 1 to 2 percent profit over the long haul.
What should one in my position do? Should I subscribe to a pro cappers site and fade his picks? Should I fade the free picks availabe on this board and its links (by the way, the sure thing that was posted earlier today of ATL/MIA being UNDER 34 1/2 turned out to be a flop).
I'm just offering a total newbie's perspective here with dash of critical thinking. Don't take any of my comments as being necessarily negative toward offshore sports betting. In fact, I like this game a lot -- it's just that, all things considered, I honestly don't believe I win enough to make it worth my while.
interested in prodcutive comments and opinions.
